Wednesday, November 19, 2008

It's Not A Waiter's Market


On Tuesday NAR, the National Association of Realtors released their third quarter report on real estate sales in every MSA in the country. The headline for Denver was "prices drop 11% in the last year!" Watch out the sky is falling!

Now, let's look at the facts. Yes, median prices dropped 11% from September 2007 thru September 2008. But, what's happening recently? For the 3rd quarter prices were unchanged from the 2nd quarter. And prices actually rose .7% in the 2nd quarter. That's two quarters in a row of good news!

Almost all of the 11% drop occured in the 4th quarter last year when prices dropped 9.5% in those 3 months.

Home prices are firming up in Denver and the Case-Shiller Index reveals that March 2008 was probably the bottom of the market here in Denver. It's a buyer's market, NOT a waiter's market!

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